Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001116 0.001268 0.001422 0.001588 0.001764 0.001942 0.002137
2025-03-30 0.000896 0.001113 0.001341 0.001596 0.001872 0.002159 0.002478
2025-04-06 0.000746 0.001013 0.001303 0.001636 0.002004 0.002395 0.002836
2025-04-13 0.000649 0.000958 0.001305 0.001714 0.002173 0.002667 0.003232
2025-04-20 0.000489 0.000813 0.001193 0.001654 0.002183 0.002761 0.003430
2025-04-27 0.000353 0.000679 0.001081 0.001584 0.002174 0.002829 0.003595
2025-05-04 0.000294 0.000635 0.001072 0.001631 0.002295 0.003039 0.003917
2025-05-11 0.000197 0.000524 0.000970 0.001558 0.002272 0.003082 0.004048
2025-05-18 0.000114 0.000414 0.000858 0.001465 0.002219 0.003086 0.004130
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000348 0.000797 0.001432 0.002233 0.003164 0.004294
2025-06-01 0.000028 0.000274 0.000715 0.001364 0.002200 0.003186 0.004391
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.000230 0.000673 0.001346 0.002227 0.003274 0.004563
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000206 0.000673 0.001403 0.002372 0.003532 0.004966
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000165 0.000639 0.001413 0.002458 0.003723 0.005297
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000139 0.000627 0.001452 0.002584 0.003963 0.005687
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000127 0.000639 0.001527 0.002756 0.004260 0.006148
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000080 0.000566 0.001471 0.002754 0.004345 0.006356
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000041 0.000492 0.001405 0.002736 0.004407 0.006535
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000031 0.000489 0.001450 0.002865 0.004650 0.006931
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000009 0.000420 0.001381 0.002836 0.004696 0.007087
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000346 0.001293 0.002776 0.004698 0.007189
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001262 0.002792 0.004794 0.007403
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000253 0.001198 0.002758 0.004825 0.007536